Wednesday, 23 February 2011

Olympic Medalist Project: Part I

In a recent article in The Daily Telegraph, two-time Olympic medalist Nick Gillingham offered this insight:-


Seems like a reasonable enough statement, right? I mean both of those points seem pretty logical. I had a problem with it though, he used the word 'statistically'... well, that was like a red rag to a bull. I had to know whether 'statistically' this was true or not. Turns out it's not.

I started by looking at the Beijing winners and medalists and their world ranking in that event in 2007. Knowing this wouldn't satisfy my thirst for stats I did the same for Athens... and then for Sydney too.

(Check out Part II for the condensed findings.)



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2008/2007 Men
.
GoldSilverBronze
.
2008 Result50m FreeCieloLeveauxBernard
.
2007 Ranking50m Free4th67th1st
.
2008 Result100m FreeBernardSullivanLezak/Cielo
.
2007 Ranking100m Free2nd6th8th/8th
.
2008 Result200m FreePhelpsParkVanderkaay
.
2007 Ranking200m Free1st4th2nd
.
2008 Result400m FreeParkZhangJensen
.
2007 Ranking400m Free1st7th2nd
.
2008 Result1500m FreeMellouliHackettCochrane
.
2007 Ranking1500m FreeN/A3rd9th
.
2008 Result100m BackPeirsolGreversVyatchanin/Stoeckel
.
2007 Ranking100m Back1st46th6th/43rd
.
2008 Result200m BackLochtePeirsolVyatchanin
.
2007 Ranking200m Back1st3rd6th
.
2008 Result100m BreastKitajimaDale OenDuboscq
.
2007 Ranking100m Breast2nd4th15th
.
2008 Result200m BreastKitajimaRickardDuboscq
.
2007 Ranking200m Breast1st6th50th
.
2008 Result100m FlyPhelpsCavicLauterstein
.
2007 Ranking100m Fly1st3rd21st
.
2008 Result200m FlyPhelpsCsehMatsuda
.
2007 Ranking200m Fly1st20th9th
.
2008 Result200m IMPhelpsCsehLochte
.
2007 Ranking200m IM1st3rd2nd
.
2008 Result400m IMPhelpsCsehLochte
.
2007 Ranking400m IM1st5th2nd
.
2008 Result4 x 100 FreeUSAFranceAustralia
.
2007 Ranking4 x 100 Free1st4th3rd
.
2008 Result4 x 200 FreeUSARussiaAustralia
.
2007 Ranking4 x 200 Free1st7th2nd
.
2008 Result4 x 100 MedleyUSAAustraliaJapan
.
2007 Ranking4 x 100 Medley2nd3rd1st
.
.
.
2008/2007 Women
.
GoldSilverBronze
.
2008 Result50m FreeSteffenTorresCampbell
.
2007 Ranking50m Free6th4th3rd
.
2008 Result100m FreeSteffenTrickettCoughlin
.
2007 Ranking100m Free3rd1st2nd
.
2008 Result200m FreePellegriniIsakovicJiayang
.
2007 Ranking200m Free4th11th13th
.
2008 Result400m FreeAdlingtonHoffJackson
.
2007 Ranking400m Free17th4th10th
.
2008 Result800m FreeAdlingtonFilippiFriis
.
2007 Ranking800m Free6th65th23rd
.
2008 Result100m BackCoughlinCoventryHoelzer
.
2007 Ranking100m Back1st2nd7th
.
2008 Result200m BackCoventryHoelzerNakamura
.
2007 Ranking200m Back1st2nd3rd
.
2008 Result100m BreastJonesSoniJukic
.
2007 Ranking100m Breast1st3rd19th
.
2008 Result200m BreastSoniJonesNordenstam
.
2007 Ranking200m Breast2nd1st82nd
.
2008 Result100m FlyTrickettMagnusonSchipper
.
2007 Ranking100m Fly1st12th2nd
.
2008 Result200m FlyZigeLiuyangSchipper
.
2007 Ranking200m Fly22nd5th2nd
.
2008 Result200m IMRiceCoventryCoughlin
.
2007 Ranking200m IM3rd2ndN/A
.
2008 Result400m IMRiceCoventryHoff
.
2007 Ranking400m IM4th2nd1st
.
2008 Result4 x 100 FreeNEDUSAAUS
.
2007 Ranking4 x 100 Free3rd2nd1st
.
2008 Result4 x 200 FreeAUSCHNUSA
.
2007 Ranking4 x 200 Free4th7th1st
.
2008 Result4 x 100 MedleyAUSUSACHN
.
2007 Ranking4 x 100 Medley1st2nd4th
.
.
.
2004/2003 Men
.
GoldSilverBronze
.
2004 Result50m FreeHall JrDraganjaSchoeman
.
2003 Ranking50m Free14th33rd15th
.
2004 Result100m FreeHoogenbandSchoemanThorpe
.
2003 Ranking100m Free1st3rd4th
.
2004 Result200m FreeThorpeHoogenbandPhelps
.
2003 Ranking200m Free1st4th2nd
.
2004 Result400m FreeThorpeHackettKeller
.
2003 Ranking400m Free1st2nd6th
.
2004 Result1500m FreeHackettJensenDavies
.
2003 Ranking1500m Free1st2nd6th
.
2004 Result100m BackPeirsolRoganMorita
.
2003 Ranking100m Back1st7th8th
.
2004 Result200m BackPeirsolRoganFlorea
.
2003 Ranking200m Back1st17th9th
.
2004 Result100m BreastKitajimaHansenDuboscq
.
2003 Ranking100m Breast1st2nd8th
.
2004 Result200m BreastKitajimaGyurtaHansen
.
2003 Ranking200m Breast1st17th5th
.
2004 Result100m FlyPhelpsCrockerSerdinov
.
2003 Ranking100m Fly2nd1st3rd
.
2004 Result200m FlyPhelpsYamamotoParry
.
2003 Ranking200m Fly1st4th6th
.
2004 Result200m IMPhelpsLochteBovell
.
2003 Ranking200m IM1st8th2nd
.
2004 Result400m IMPhelpsVendtCseh
.
2003 Ranking400m IM1st12th2nd
.
2004 Result4 x 100 FreeRSANEDUSA
.
2003 Ranking4 x 100 Free9th11th2nd
.
2004 Result4 x 200 FreeUSAAUSITA
.
2003 Ranking4 x 200 Free2nd1st4th
.
2004 Result4 x 100 MedleyUSAGERJAP
.
2003 Ranking4 x 100 Medley1st12th3rd
.
.
.
2004/2003 Women
.
GoldSilverBronze
.
2004 Result50m Freede BruijnMetellaLenton
.
2003 Ranking50m Free1st9th2nd
.
2004 Result100m FreeHenryde BruijnCoughlin
.
2003 Ranking100m Free3rd46th4th
.
2004 Result200m FreePotecPellegriniFigues
.
2003 Ranking200m Free10thN/A8th
.
2004 Result400m FreeManaudouJedrzejczakSandeno
.
2003 Ranking400m Free13th35th18th
.
2004 Result800m FreeShibataManaudouMunz
.
2003 Ranking800m Free44th11th2nd
.
2004 Result100m BackCoughlinCoventryManaudou
.
2003 Ranking100m Back3rd53rd13th
.
2004 Result200m BackCoventryKomarovaBuschschulte/Nakamura
.
2003 Ranking200m Back44th3rd10th/8th
.
2004 Result100m BreastXuejuanHansonJones
.
2003 Ranking100m Breast2nd8th1st
.
2004 Result200m BreastBeardJonesPoleska
.
2003 Ranking200m Breast1st2nd5th
.
2004 Result100m FlyThomasJedrzejczakde Bruijn
.
2003 Ranking100m Fly4th3rdN/A
.
2004 Result200m FlyJedrzejczakThomasNakanishi
.
2003 Ranking200m Fly1st6th3rd
.
2004 Result200m IMKlochkovaBeardCoventry
.
2003 Ranking200m IM1st10th14th
.
2004 Result400m IMKlochkovaSandenoBardach
.
2003 Ranking400m IM1st3rd9th
.
2004 Result4 x 100 FreeAUSUSANED
.
2003 Ranking4 x 100 Free3rd1st4th
.
2004 Result4 x 200 FreeUSACHNGER
.
2003 Ranking4 x 200 Free1st3rd11th
.
2004 Result4 x 100 MedleyAUSUSAGER
.
2003 Ranking4 x 100 Medley3rd2nd4th
.
.
.
1999/2000 Men
.
GoldSilverBronze
.
2000 Result50m FreeErvin/Hall Jr-------------------Hoogenband
.
1999 Ranking50m FreeN/A/6th-------------------2nd
.
2000 Result100m FreeV.d.HoogenbandPopovHall Jr
.
1999 Ranking100m Free1st3rdN/A
.
2000 Result200m FreeV.d.HoogenbandThorpeRosolino
.
1999 Ranking200m Free2nd1st7th
.
2000 Result400m FreeThorpeRosolinoKeller
.
1999 Ranking400m Free1st8th44th
.
2000 Result1500m FreeHackettPerkinsThompson
.
1999 Ranking1500m Free1st4th3rd
.
2000 Result100m BackKrayzelburgWelshTheloke
.
1999 Ranking100m Back1st3rd4th
.
2000 Result200m BackKrayzelburgPeirsolWelsh
.
1999 Ranking200m Back1st10th32nd
.
2000 Result100m BreastFiorvantiMosesSludnov
.
1999 Ranking100m Breast2rd1st3rd
.
2000 Result200m BreastFiorvantiParkinRummolo
.
1999 Ranking200m Breast14th10th19th
.
2000 Result100m FlyFrolanderKlimHuegill
.
1999 Ranking100m Fly3rd1st2nd
.
2000 Result200m FlyMalchowSylantyevNorris
.
1999 Ranking200m Fly1st4th21st
.
2000 Result200m IMRosolinoDolanWilkens
.
1999 Ranking200m IM3rd140th1st
.
2000 Result400m IMDolanVendtMyden
.
1999 Ranking400m IM109th14th1st
.
2000 Result4 x 100 FreeAUSUSABRA
.
1999 Ranking4 x 100 Free1st3rd4th
.
2000 Result4 x 200 FreeAUSUSANED
.
1999 Ranking4 x 200 Free1st2nd19th
.
2000 Result4 x 100 MedleyUSAAUSGER
.
1999 Ranking4 x 100 Medley1st16th3rd
.
.
.
1999/2000 Women
.
GoldSilverBronze
.
2000 Result50m Freede BruijnAlshammarTorres
.
1999 Ranking50m Free1st4th3rd
.
2000 Result100m Freede BruijnAlshammarTorres/Thompson
.
1999 Ranking100m Free2nd11th7th/1st
.
2000 Result200m FreeO'NeillMoravcovaPoll
.
1999 Ranking200m Free1st5th13th
.
2000 Result400m FreeBennettMunzPoll
.
1999 Ranking400m Free2nd6th11th
.
2000 Result800m FreeBennettKlochkovaSandeno
.
1999 Ranking800m Free1st53rd6th
.
2000 Result100m BackMocanuNakamuraZhivanevskaya
.
1999 Ranking100m Back27th2nd6th
.
2000 Result200m BackMocanuMaracineanuNakao
.
1999 Ranking200m Back34th3rd1st
.
2000 Result100m BreastQuannJonesHeyns
.
1999 Ranking100m Breast2ndN/A1st
.
2000 Result200m BreastKovacsKowalBeard
.
1999 Ranking200m Breast5th2nd25th
.
2000 Result100m Flyde BruijnMoravcovaTorres
.
1999 Ranking100m Fly2ndN/AN/A
.
2000 Result200m FlyHymanO'NeillThomas
.
1999 Ranking200m Fly6th1st8th
.
2000 Result200m IMKlochkovaCaslaruTeuscher
.
1999 Ranking200m IM2nd7th3rd
.
2000 Result400m IMKlochkovaTajimaCaslaru
.
1999 Ranking400m IM1st3rd4th
.
2000 Result4 x 100 FreeUSANEDSWE
.
1999 Ranking4 x 100 Free2nd7th4th
.
2000 Result4 x 200 FreeUSAAUSGER
.
1999 Ranking4 x 200 Free1st2nd3rd
.
2000 Result4 x 100 MedleyUSAAUSJAP
.
1999 Ranking4 x 100 Medley1st2nd3rd

1 comment:

  1. What an interesting and stunning work!

    ReplyDelete