The Blue Ribbons
100m Free (57 votes, 22%) - At first glance it is a surprise to see a non-Phelps/Lochte event at the top of the pile, however, history has proven over time that the 100 Free is truly swimming's blue ribbon event. Also one of the most open races we'll see in Shanghai with no clear favourite.
200m Free (50 votes, 19%) - The event I thought would end up on top. Swimming's Hollywood event. Lochte v Phelps. Phelps v Biedermann. Agnel v Biedermann. USA v Russia. East v West. Youth v Experience.
The Hot List
200m Breast (27 votes, 10%) - Another surprise to see this event so high, but then it does have one of the sport's global superstars trying to hold off the challenge from his young Japanese compatriot, and an even younger German who could upset them all.
200m IM (27 votes, 10%) - One for the Phelps v Lochte fans. Also one for those on World Record watch. The turning point in this event... last year's US Nationals when Lochte beat Phelps.
1500 Free (18 votes, 7%) - If Sun Yang swims a second faster than he did at last year's Asian Games, the oldest world record in swimming will be broken. Should be a race against the clock, although Ous Mellouli looked in great shape earlier this year.
4 x 100 Free Relay (15 votes, 5%) - The most dramatic event in men's swimming of the last generation. USA. France. Russia. All with a point to prove, all with a great chance of proving it.
50 Free (12 votes, 4%) - This is one for Auburn fans. Current Auburn athlete Fred Bousquet going against his former team mate Cesar Cielo. War Damn Eagle. In a race that often goes against the form book, watch out for Nathan Adrian and Alain Bernard too.
The Third Tier
100 Fly (9 votes, 3%) - The first time we get to see Phelps v Cavic since Rome 2009. Both have had troubled preparations, both should be ready to go by Shanghai.
200 Fly (9 votes, 3%) - Interesting that the 200 Fly got the same amount of votes as the 100. This is Phelps' signature event, although recent losses have opened the door for Japan's Takeshi Matsuda. For the first time in many years Phelps isn't a lock to win the 200 Fly.
400 Free (8 votes, 3%) - This would have been much higher on my list. While the event has lost some of its luster with the news of Yannick Agnel's illness, it still sees a rematch between Sun Yang and Park Tae Hwan. Both men have swam 3:41 in textile suits over the last year. Both men have a chance of pulling each other under Biedermann's/Thorpe's time and going sub 3:40.
4 x 200 Free Relay (6 votes, 2%) - Hard to see past Team USA in this event. Russia and Germany have four strong guys, Australia and France could have a good races. If you really want to see a shock result here though, look for the Chinese team to cause an upset.
200 Back (4 votes, 1%) - This event sees the most consistent in-season swimmer, Mr. 1:54, Ryosuke Irie going up against the taper-sensation that is Ryan Lochte. Tyler Clary and Zhang Fenglin won't be far behind either.
100 Breast (4 votes, 1%) - Another wide open event. Kitajima goes in as favourite although Alexander Dale Oen and Brenton Rickard will cause him problems.
400 IM (3 votes, 1%) - Lochte should be too good here, although Laszlo Cseh and Tyler Clary will push him all the way. Also watch out for Thiago Pereira, David Verraszto, Chengxiang Wang and Yuya Horihata.
4 x 100 Medley Relay (3 votes, 1%) - Will USA's lack of Breaststroke speed be their weak link. Can France take advantage on this supposed weakness?
How Did You Miss This One?
100 Back (1 vote, 0%) - This one leaves me scratching my head. Coming bottom of the list is a potential world record in the 100 Back. While Camille Lacourt might be the runaway favourite in this race, the same is true in the 1500 Free, 100 Fly etc. He was also half a second faster at French Nationals this year than last, which indicates the World Record is very much on in Shanghai. If he's not on top form, look for Irie, Tancock, Meeuw, Wildeboer, Thoman or Plummer to capitalize.