tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post5961327948893496526..comments2024-02-16T08:24:02.879+00:00Comments on Speed Endurance Swimming Blog: World Swimming Championships Predictions - WomenSpeed Endurancehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14365062789141117207noreply@blogger.comBlogger41125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-42573892947823660012011-07-12T18:58:21.704+01:002011-07-12T18:58:21.704+01:00My newer prediction, taking into account latest an...My newer prediction, taking into account latest announcement from the chinese team:<br /><br />50 Freestyle<br />Gold: Ranomi Kromowidjojo<br />Silver: Therese Alshammar<br />Bronze: Marleen Veldhuis<br /><br />100 Freestyle<br />Gold: Ranomi Kromowidjojo<br />Silver: Fran Halsall<br />Bronze: Femke Heemskerk<br /><br />200 Freestyle<br />Gold: Federica Pellegrini<br />Silver: Camille Muffat<br />Bronze: Bronte Barratt<br /><br />400 Freestyle<br />Gold: Rebecca Adlington<br />Silver: Federica Pellegrini<br />Bronze: Kylie Palmer<br /><br />800 Freestyle<br />Gold: Rebecca Adlington<br />Silver: Chloe Sutton<br />Bronze: Erika Villaecija<br /><br />1500 Freestyle<br />Gold: Chloe Sutton<br />Silver: Lotte Friis<br />Bronze: Kristel Kobrich<br /><br />50 Backstroke<br />Gold: Gao Chang<br />Silver: Aya Terakawa<br />Bronze: Sophie Edington<br /><br />100 Backstroke<br />Gold: Anastasia Zueva<br />Silver: Aya Terakawa<br />Bronze: Emily Seebohm<br />(yeah, I know Seebohm is sick and all but she's a fighter and I expect her to fight this one. She literally passed out after her only swim in the 100 in Australian trials, and she won Santa Clara in sub 1:00 from Missy Franklin even when she was already sick)<br /><br />200 Backstroke<br />Gold: Megan Nay<br />Silver: Elizabeth Simmonds<br />Bronze: Belinda Hocking<br /><br />50 Breaststroke<br />Gold: Jessica Hardy<br />Silver: Leiston Pickett<br />Bronze: Leisel Jones<br /><br />100 Breaststroke<br />Gold: Rebecca Soni<br />Silver: Leisel Jones<br />Bronze: Yulia Efimova<br /><br />200 Breaststroke<br />Gold: Rebecca Soni<br />Silver: Yulia Efimova<br />Bronze: Ji Liping<br /><br />50 Butterfly<br />Gold: Therese Alshammar<br />Silver: Inge Dekker<br />Bronze: Sarah Sjoestrom<br /><br />100 Butterfly<br />Gold: Sarah Sjoestrom<br />Silver: Alicia Coutts<br />Bronze: Liu Zige<br /><br />200 Butterfly<br />Gold: Liu Zige<br />Silver: Jiao Liuyang<br />Bronze: Jemma Lowe<br /><br />200 Individual Medley<br />Gold: Alicia Coutts<br />Silver: Ye Shiwen<br />Bronze: Ariana Kukors<br /><br />400 Individual Medley<br />Gold: Hannah Miley<br />Silver: Stephanie Rice<br />Bronze: Mireia Belmonte<br /><br />400 Freestyle Relay<br />Gold: Netherlands<br />Silver: United States<br />Bronze: Australia<br /><br />800 Freestyle Relay<br />Gold: Australia<br />Silver: United States<br />Bronze: China<br /><br />400 Medley Relay<br />Gold: United States<br />Silver: Australia<br />Bronze: Chinaaswimfannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-84263300828037814432011-07-12T17:30:21.617+01:002011-07-12T17:30:21.617+01:00So, Australia has a total of 1 gold, 2 silver, and...So, Australia has a total of 1 gold, 2 silver, and 8 bronzes from both men and women? That is a low record for the aussies since 1991. <br />I think that is very low estimate for them.<br /><br />and imo, your total for USA (14 golds, 6 silvers, 11 bronze) is on the high side of estimate.<br /><br />But we'll see in 3 weeks time.aswimfannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-55266231401978547872011-07-12T11:34:13.752+01:002011-07-12T11:34:13.752+01:00Just an FYI.
I have the medal table on the women&...Just an FYI.<br /><br />I have the medal table on the women's side looking like this:<br /><br />USA - 6 Gold - 2 Silver - 7 Bronze - 15 Total<br />CHN - 5 Gold - 4 Silver - 1 Bronze - 10 Total<br />NED - 3 Gold - 1 Silver - 2 Bronze - 6 Total<br />GBR - 2 Gold - 2 Silver - 2 Bronze - 6 Total<br />SWE - 2 Gold - 0 Silver - 0 Bronze - 2 Total<br />AUS - 1 Gold - 2 Silver - 5 Bronze - 8 Total<br />ITA - 1 Gold - 0 Silver - 1 Bronze - 2 Total<br />RUS - 0 Gold - 3 Silver - 1 Bronze - 4 Total<br />FRA - 0 Gold - 2 Silver - 0 Bronze - 2 Total<br />DEN - 0 Gold - 2 Silver - 0 Bronze - 2 Total<br />JAP - 0 Gold - 1 Silver - 0 Bronze - 1 Total<br />CAN - 0 Gold - 1 Silver - 0 Bronze - 1 Total<br />BLR - 0 Gold - 0 Silver - 1 Bronze - 1 TotalSpeed Endurancehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14365062789141117207noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-66531996753508605452011-07-11T03:40:49.554+01:002011-07-11T03:40:49.554+01:00Yeah, Belmonte could be very dangerous, if only sh...Yeah, Belmonte could be very dangerous, if only she edits her events.<br />Is she really going to swim full program like what she did in Dubai (200 fly, 200/400 IM, 800 free)?<br />I think she needs to drop the 800, and maybe the 200 IM too.aswimfannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-20440161381471571222011-07-11T03:26:34.203+01:002011-07-11T03:26:34.203+01:00oops wrong threadoops wrong threadaswimfannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-17943221769430819522011-07-11T03:24:55.268+01:002011-07-11T03:24:55.268+01:00For Jack again,
If Sun yang wins golds and breaks...For Jack again,<br /><br />If Sun yang wins golds and breaks WRs in 400, 800, and 1,500 in Shanghai, then let's put his name in the same sentence along with Thorpe and Hackett, otherwise, please stop saying Thorpe and Hackett did not have the same range as Sun.aswimfannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-3297038019065843822011-07-11T02:07:13.492+01:002011-07-11T02:07:13.492+01:00I would put Belmonte in that 400im also. Hard to s...I would put Belmonte in that 400im also. Hard to swim by anyone with a 2.6.3 fly stamina a lovely breastroke & a 8.27 free.<br /><br />Add Coventry. 2nd Chinese person. HosszuAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-24203805763613462522011-07-10T18:08:35.736+01:002011-07-10T18:08:35.736+01:00Actually, The american women were not THAT dominan...Actually, The american women were not THAT dominant in 2007. They were roughly the same as the australians (US=9 golds, AUS=8 golds, however, 3 of those US golds came from non-olympic events, so you can say that Australian women were more dominant).<br /><br />I see the US team winning at least 4 golds: Soni (100,200), Hardy (50 breast), 400 MR<br />with great chance: Kukors (200 IM).<br />So my conservative estimate is 4-5 golds for US women.aswimfannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-376318927011232042011-07-10T14:58:52.708+01:002011-07-10T14:58:52.708+01:00Addressing the comment that the US women are being...Addressing the comment that the US women are being underestimated because the US did not have their trials and America usually picks up their game for the championships.<br /><br />Although I believe this to be true. I also do not believe the American women are anywhere as dominant as the men, or as they have been in the past. I like to think of the American women as one of the dominant teams, not THE team to beat. I actually think team China will come out of this meet as the ones to beat from this meet.<br /><br />With that said, the American women only racked up 2 gold medals in Rome by Kukors and Soni. I think part of the issue is that since 07 when they were extremely dominant, the rest of the world has responded to the challenge while the American women have largely remained stagnant. Hoff's 07 times would still be outstanding times for an American right now, but those podium times are unlikely to make make the same podium in Shanghai. Also Coughlin, the most reliable female American medalist has yet to return to her former form. In my opinion we will need to see what Missy Franklin can really do next year as I think it would lift American performances in general.<br /><br />As it stands right now, I dont see the American women making more of a podium impression than they did in Rome.john26noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-38447914088814918312011-07-10T13:51:45.456+01:002011-07-10T13:51:45.456+01:00Rice,Ye,Beisel & Miley are going to have a hel...Rice,Ye,Beisel & Miley are going to have a hell of a fight on the 400IM! Rice is throwing down swims all over the place setting SBs as is Beisel and Miley has a 4.35 during heavy training as well as a 4.38 in a week in which she had i think 20 races (Nats)! Cant wait.Jacknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-19467597555149032242011-07-09T19:10:06.902+01:002011-07-09T19:10:06.902+01:00oop wrong postoop wrong postAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-42260360704294521542011-07-09T19:06:25.362+01:002011-07-09T19:06:25.362+01:00i know lotche doesn't swim well in season but ...i know lotche doesn't swim well in season but i can't put him on the podium in the 200 free . 2 weeks before worlds he isn't in the top 25 .Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-21947369310950290032011-07-09T16:53:17.762+01:002011-07-09T16:53:17.762+01:00If all goes well, I think Rice will do very exciti...If all goes well, I think Rice will do very exciting times in 200/400 IM. In 2009 even in jaked, she actually swam slower in Santa Clara. granted, she was not well prepared in 2009 and was a bit sick coming off teh attitude in mexico.aswimfannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-14005087218298566652011-07-09T16:47:58.843+01:002011-07-09T16:47:58.843+01:00ye shiwen trains with dennis cotterel?
I never kne...ye shiwen trains with dennis cotterel?<br />I never knew this.<br /><br />Park Tae Hwan trains with Michael Bohl, right?aswimfannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-91567215542294848952011-07-09T14:45:23.936+01:002011-07-09T14:45:23.936+01:00Aswim . Rice did a 2.7.5 but her potential in tha...Aswim . Rice did a 2.7.5 but her potential in that event is more for she did 2.09 in 06. It is more part of her prep & confidence booster . <br /><br />John -I haven't read the article. Don't have any info on these 4 but the programme has its share of shoulder injuries & training induced sicknesses. Sure to happen (already has with Zhang ) at some time.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-65432134928012665592011-07-09T10:55:46.781+01:002011-07-09T10:55:46.781+01:00http://www.theage.com.au/sport/swimming/china-tipp...http://www.theage.com.au/sport/swimming/china-tipped-to-be-major-player-in-the-pool-20110708-1h6sw.html<br /><br />I'm holding my breath here. Cotterell trains Sun, Zhao, Shao (400m), Ye all of whom have unreal homecoming speed.john26noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-63781489476026847492011-07-09T10:39:20.161+01:002011-07-09T10:39:20.161+01:00I've also just realized, in Santa Clara, Steph...I've also just realized, in Santa Clara, Stephanie Rice actually swam her fastest ever in season pbs, and with the 200 fly being her outright PB.<br /><br />Kukors swam great santa clara in 200 IM, but Kukors is training with FAST team (with others such as Soni) and they are known as always swam very fast in season, so I don't expect much drop from her in Shanghai.aswimfannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-66217666535206920962011-07-09T10:35:54.231+01:002011-07-09T10:35:54.231+01:00Oh, I didn't realize that she's not that s...Oh, I didn't realize that she's not that small, she looks small on TV :)<br />So she's actually 1 cm taller than Libby Trickett.<br /><br />But she's much smaller than her contemporaries though. Seebohm is 180 cm, Coutts is 176 cm, Mikkayla Sheridan is 178, Missy Franklin is 6'2", and Elizabeth Pelton is 5'9". And I think Cate Campbell is pretty tall too.aswimfannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-63028505613258236992011-07-09T07:10:01.171+01:002011-07-09T07:10:01.171+01:00A little bird told me that she can already replica...A little bird told me that she can already replicate Inge's extreme strength /weight exploits. Plus .Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-2324605958311778092011-07-09T07:05:31.124+01:002011-07-09T07:05:31.124+01:00Aswim
Yolane is not that small. She is now aroun...Aswim <br /><br />Yolane is not that small. She is now around 168 cms or 5'6' .Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-34260651997481827022011-07-08T16:13:33.864+01:002011-07-08T16:13:33.864+01:00100 fly will be tough for Halsall, she may make fi...100 fly will be tough for Halsall, she may make final though.<br />let's see the candidates for London<br /><br />1. Sjoestrom. She will be 18 or 19 in London and will be at the peak of her swimming career. I predict she will be scary fast. 56.4 will be well within reach by London<br />2. Liu Zige. She is improving leaps and bounds in 100. When she swam 2:04 in Beijing, her 100 Pb was only 59!<br />3. Coutts. Her improvement rate has been constantly great, especially so in 100 fly/free. I think she will be at least 56.7 by London<br />4. Kukla. She is only 15 and already 58 flat. She may get faster, although her small size does not give much for greater improvement<br />5. Vollmer. Now that she's focusing on 100 free/fly only, she will likely be sub 57<br /><br />There are also a host of sub 57 candidates swimmers such jiao liuyang, the other two brits, christine magnusson.aswimfannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-43623287992356625042011-07-08T14:59:15.622+01:002011-07-08T14:59:15.622+01:00Comments are an iteresting addition, a few points ...Comments are an iteresting addition, a few points to bring in though:<br /><br />Could Halsall medal in the fly in London, Vollmer's 57.5 untapered is special but dont forget Halsall has swum 57.4s untapered twice in 2 years (Once slightly taperer), what is her potential in this event that she has only recently taken seriously?<br /><br />Also on the 200BK, i dont think Lizzie Simmonds tapered that much for nationals, remember last year her 2.07 flat and 2.06.9 swims were during training cycles, the 2.06 quite a sizeable training cycle as were her 59.9s (At euro's and the Duel), very similar to her times in June, what i picked up on twitter was she has a few days to a week, not a real taper.Jacknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-25255496169099142242011-07-08T09:31:23.406+01:002011-07-08T09:31:23.406+01:00I think that's because most people now knows t...I think that's because most people now knows the style of training at Greg troy's (lochte's coach) club in florida. In the past they always swam real terrible and slow in season but popped amazing times during worlds or olympics (especially in Lochte's case), so people are willing to give him some discount.<br />And the second reason is what you already mentioned: the gap between the potential medallists and the one below is much larger in men's events than in women's.<br /><br />Honestly, in 200 IM the duo of Phelps and Lochte is as certain as they come, but you ask two different people who they think as the three medallists in women 200 IM, they will most likely give you two totally different sets of names (Coutts, Ye, Rice, Kukors, Hosszu can win the 200 IM on any given day).<br />Thats what makes predicting for womens events much more difficult this year. And this why you don't get to see Coughlin and Franklin on many lists.aswimfannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-84238346786485842142011-07-08T09:11:00.907+01:002011-07-08T09:11:00.907+01:00Thank you, too, aswimfan!
I agree with you.
Howev...Thank you, too, aswimfan!<br /><br />I agree with you.<br />However, if that is the case, then I guess I don't understand why Lochte is favored to win any event right now in many of these predictions.<br /><br />He's looked horrible, and plus the knee injury and whatnot.<br />Or are the competitions generally lighter in the men's so that a below-his-standard Ryan Lochte can still win 200 IM at world championships?Robinnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1250367211605373057.post-57045072718487008882011-07-08T09:02:20.664+01:002011-07-08T09:02:20.664+01:00I'm very excited for Shanghai because there...I'm very excited for Shanghai because there's just not one single weak event, while in the past world champs we always got one or two "weak" events.aswimfannoreply@blogger.com